Wednesday, June 24, 2015

And The Winner Is....

The best performing developed market of the past 20 years will come as a surprise to most.  The fact that an investment in this country nearly doubled the return of the US during this time will be even more surprising.  But the most interesting aspect about this country's performance is how it became the best performing developed country over the last two decades.


Thursday, April 23, 2015

Understanding Investor Bias: International Markets Edition

Last year was a very clear example of how investors can be blinded by biases.  2014 was unique in that most major equity markets performed well below average except for the U.S. large cap market (as measured by the S&P 500).  The S&P 500 was up 13% last year while international markets were negative and very little else returned more than about 4%.  Many investors immediately became nervous over their portfolios.  Some even mulled over the idea of completely getting out of anything outside the U.S.  There were a lot of strong reactions to just a single year of performance.

Every year out of all the major assets classes there is going to be a top performer and a bottom performer.  It is rare that anyone ever questions why they did not own only the top performer.  No one knows which asset class will be the best performer on any given year, and it is universally agreed that diversification can help reduce risk and increase long term return.  So why did last year seem to get some investors so riled up? 

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Successful Investing: Warren Buffett Wisdom

Every year tens of thousands of people make the pilgrimage to Omaha, Nebraska to listen to arguably the most successful investment manager of all time, Warren Buffett. The extremely popular event starts this Monday. Undoubtedly, some are hoping to glean some investment secret or word of wisdom that they can turn into investment gold. And who can blame them? In a world where we are constantly bombarded with hot investments, market forecasts, and pundit predictions it seems nearly impossible to ever be sure what to do with our money. Thankfully, Warren Buffett does dispense some great advice and it is actually much different than what you might expect.

Friday, January 3, 2014

Investing Lessons from the 2014 Sugar Bowl

I have a client who is a big OU Sooner fan.  I mentioned to him my hope that OU would stand a chance against the heavily favored Alabama Crimson Tide to which he responded in jest, "I hope you aren't putting MY money on an upset." After the game I could not help but see the parallel to this year's outcome and how people actually think about investing for retirement.

Friday, November 8, 2013

I went to cash because..

"I went to cash because..."  Fill in the blank.  This is a common phrase uttered by market pundits, advisors, and amateur investors everywhere.  And there always is a seemingly very smart reason to justify putting your investments in cash instead of the market.  However; what appears on the surface to be a good investing idea often stands in sharp contrast to the actual results.